A look at the big issues of climate?
You've reached the Web page of the Powers family (Patrick, Catherine, Victoria and Mark) in Harpenden, Herts in the UK. It should now be clear what the interests of at least one of us are! To those interests you can also add a canal narrow boat and a reasonably rare (only four known of the actual type and year) 1932 Morris-Cowley two-seater; see car restoration link below...
Mark and his wife Jane announced the birth of their lovely first baby Evelyn Siobhán, in December 2009. As at the end of May 2010, Evie was well over a stone in weight, by June 2011 she was walking and at 4 she was chattering all day long. At 5 she completed her reception year in school and started in Year 1. She is now nearly 11 and heading for secondary school! Here's a picture of her at six months. How time flies. Now, Evie has a sister, Anna Róisín born January 2013; shown here, on the right, sleeping. She is coming up for 8, at school full time in Year 1 and expressing her opinions to everyone!
Sundials come in many shapes, sizes and
styles. They represent a fascinating link with a past technology. A
little bit of explanation here and some hints on how to find out
more... You can also learn how to join the British Sundial Society
(BSS). There's also information here too for
anyone wanting to know more about the society and to
explore an independent archive of documents, information, policies etc relating to
the society, current news and comment on sundials generally as well as some reflexions on recent conferences.
Click the image for the International
page about Sundial News
Information and Comment about Sundials, Sundial Websites, Sundial
Societies and Related Matters.
Including an independent web resource that may be of interest and use to everyone interested in the world of sundials. Over 100 documents are now archived or linked here and all the pages are updated regularly too. There have been well over twenty thousand visits to this part of the website!
Here to visit
|The Barrow-on-Soar Dial. Declared open on 3rd July 2004 by the Lord Lieutenant of Leicestershire, this is the new Millennium Park and Sundial at Barrow on Soar. Pictures of this imaginative dial on its opening day will be placed here shortly.|
The Amble Dial. Opened to the public in May 2001. Photos of the 12 metre diameter Millennium Dial and of the opening ceremony can be seen by clicking Here or on the photo on the left. I did the calculations (it's called the 'delineation') and following some excellent work by the artistic consultants and the building company, the dial has proved to be remarkably accurate.
The Amble Development also won the 2002 RTPI Planning Award for Town Regeneration!!
of a 1932
Click picture for
Here are some photographs of the restoration of my 1932 Morris-Cowley Tourer. Owned by me since 1956 but until 2014, not driven since 1965! Together the Cowley & I have seen a lot. The photo on the left was taken in the winter of 1962-63 and I still have it framed, here in my office at home. Yes, it started first time after the snow had been cleared off! The Cowley has been away for the engine to be un-seized, for new wings to be made and for certain other works. But it is now back. Its 85th Birthday was on 18th June 2017! The Cowley was first registered on 18th June 1932 you see.
In September 2014 it was driven again and even made it up Kop Hill at the 2014 Kop Hill Climb!
HERE to see
the start on the Hill!!
Click HERE to see more photos of the car and the state of its restoration as of 2002...
Sadly we finally had to dispose of the Cowley when we downsized so it was auctioned off on the 18th May 2019 by Historics Auctions.
I - Details of the wiring and operation of the Lucas 'PLC' Ignition Switch, the Lucas 'CFR2' Cut out, the Lucas 'A900R' Dynamotor as used on a 1932 Morris Cowley Tourer are HERE. Mention is also made of the original Lucas 'CF1' cut out that was originally fitted to this car AND there is a diagram of the wiring of the dashboard.
II - Details of the chassis layout, operation of the fuel gauge, component parts of the hydraulic brake master cylinder and even how to fit the doors and locks back on are HERE.
III - Replacement hubcaps in stainless steel are easily obtained for this car but not so the nuts that attach them to the wheels. Details of the necessary hubcaps and nuts and how they may be obtained are HERE.
HERE are some pictures of some of the cars that came to the 2013 Kop Hill Climb! Sadly my Cowley was not amongst them that year; BUT with a lot of help we finally got there in 2014, and we took it up the hill too!
|And now for Horses!!
Click the image on the left to go to the Horse section of this
My horse Domino was covered by Dandy, her new owner's stallion, in late June 2006 and she finally gave birth to a colt on the morning of 3rd June 2007 at something like 07:30 BST. He wasn't there when they checked Domino at 06:15 but was when they checked again at 08:30! He's a piebald (black - or nearly chocolate - and white) coloured colt and was named Patrick! He has four white legs and a white blaze just like his Mum. So, there was great excitement all round. Photos? Well, some pics of him might still be found here
*** DOMINO - UPDATE ***
Regular readers will recall that the 20th August 2005 was a sad day! After a lot of thought I had decided to sell my horse, Domino. I had not been riding for a while and she was not getting enough exercise or attention so I sold her to a friend in Ireland who had known her when she was here and who had just started up a new riding school in Malin, Co Donegal - Rose Cottage Riding School which, following expiry of the lease on the land has now sadly closed. Domino was collected around noon on the 20th August to take only her second trip in a horse box (the first was when she first came to the yard aged 4) and her first sea trip as far as we know! Her journey took over two days but she had rest stops overnight en route in Carlisle and Omagh. I went to see her in Malin on Tuesday/Wednesday 30th/31st August. She had of course settled in perfectly, I think I worried more during her journey than she. She had immediately recognised the lady to whom I sold her as she came off the box and has never looked back. I have since been over a few times to see how she's doing - I am spending nearly as much on trips to Ireland as I did on her! Well, not quite of course!!
Her then new owner, Kate, had Domino covered by her own black and white piebald cob stallion, Dandy, in July 2006 and on 3rd June 2007) the result of this union was finally born as you will have seen from the above!!
-- 000 --
They always say that converts are the worst...<gg> A late comer to riding, I have come across a little bit about horses in recent years... This is really an excuse to put up pictures of Domino - she the 'cutie of the huge hooves' - and of Badger a mischievous horse owned by a colleague. As of 2009, Domino was 18 years old but by 2005 she had not been ridden by me for ages firstly because of her foot injury which seemed to flare up whenever I rode and then just as that got better I was prevented from riding because of the UK Foot & Mouth epidemic! Even though that was eventually lifted and we could ride out again, I seemed to find more excuses not to than I should.... Before going to Ireland Domino had lived and wintered out in her field where she was No1 (or sometimes No2 to a 'pushy' gelding) and was used in the School on a few days a week.
Some photos here of a sometimes dishevelled Domino!!
In 2011 the Riding School in Malin closed following the expiry of its lease. Domino was then transferred to another riding School in County Donegal where she does much the same! She is now (2014) aged 23. Patrick is currently with a lady in the South East of England.
**** Sadly we heard on the 16th July 2014 that Domino had been found dead in her field on Thursday 10th July 2014. She was lying with her head between her knees and is thought to have probably died from a heart attack****
Coming soon! (?)
|Some light relief from Sundials and Horses! "Can that really be?" I hear you all cry. Well, Yes - no effort spared on this web site.... We shall shortly have views of some of the Temples of Egypt taken on a trip there in March 2003 and some photos of the Narrowboat we used to have. Come back soon to see them... (Oops sorry - it's 2020 and still none of these are up - we have mislaid the images. Soon perhaps....?|
Now, you Maths freaks....1
What's the significance of this sentence?
How I want a drink, alcoholic of course, after the heavy lectures involving quantum mechanics. All of thy geometry, Herr Planck, is fairly hard...
For the answer click here.
Now, you Maths freaks....2
|Have you recently taken A-Level Maths?: Want to see if the paper you took is the same or harder than one set 65+ years ago in 1954? If so then CLICK here and join in the 'Dumbing Down' debate about education today by sending in your comments too.... You may need to print the papers out to see all the detail.|
The logic behind Income tax and why it can be necessary to bring back tax thresholds lost by removal of indexation - despite what the SNP think in Scotland....:-)
Thanks too for the HUGE contribution to tax made by the rich!
still valid - and amusing:
The tax system explained using a beer analogy:-
Suppose that once a week, ten men go out for beer and the bill for all ten comes to £100. If they paid their bill the way we pay our taxes, it would go something like this..
The first four men (the poorest) would pay nothing.
The fifth would pay £1.
The sixth would pay £3.
The seventh would pay £7.
The eighth would pay £12.
The ninth would pay £18.
And the tenth man (the richest) would pay £59.
So, that's what they decided to do.
The ten men drank in the bar every week and seemed quite happy with the arrangement until, one day, the owner caused them a little problem. "Since you are all such good customers," he said, "I'm going to reduce the cost of your weekly beer by £20.” Drinks for the ten men would now cost just £80.
The group still wanted to pay their bill the way we pay our taxes. So the first four men were unaffected. They would still drink for free but what about the other six men? The paying customers? How could they divide the £20 windfall so that everyone would get his fair share? They realized that £20 divided by six is £3.33 but if they subtracted that from everybody's share then not only would the first four men still be drinking for free but the fifth and sixth man would each end up being paid to drink his beer.
So, the bar owner suggested that it would be fairer to reduce each man's bill by a higher percentage. They decided to follow the principle of the tax system they had been using and he proceeded to work out the amounts he suggested that each should now pay.
And so, the fifth man, like the first four, now paid nothing (a 100% saving).
The sixth man now paid £2 instead of £3 (a 33% saving).
The seventh man now paid £5 instead of £7 (a 28% saving).
The eighth man now paid £9 instead of £12 (a 25% saving).
The ninth man now paid £14 instead of £18 (a 22% saving).
And the tenth man now paid £49 instead of £59 (a 16% saving).
Each of the last six was better off than before with the first four continuing to drink for free.
But, once outside the bar, the men began to compare their savings. "I only got £1 out of the £20 saving," declared the sixth man. He pointed to the tenth man, "but he got £10!"
"Yeah, that's right," exclaimed the fifth man. "I only saved a £1 too. It's unfair that he got ten times more benefit than me!"
"That's true!" shouted the seventh man. "Why should he get £10 back, when I only got £2? The wealthy get all the breaks!"
"Wait a minute," yelled the first four men in unison, "we didn't get anything at all. This new tax system exploits the poor!" The nine men surrounded the tenth and beat him up.
The next week the tenth man didn't show up for drinks, so the nine sat down and had their beers without him. But when it came time to pay the bill, they discovered something important - they didn't have enough money between all of them to pay for even half of the bill!
And that, boys and girls, journalists and government ministers, is how our tax system works.
Reality at Last?
(Or pigs might fly...?)
A look at the big issues of climate
Click to see:
It was Copernicus
who by his work showed us how fragile time-honoured scientific
conceptions can be...The hypothesis of
Anthropomorphic Global Warming is rapidly proving to be yet another....
"The main flaw in the AGW theory is that its proponents focus on evidence from only the past one thousand years at most, while ignoring the evidence from the past million years — evidence which is essential for a true understanding of climatology.” – Gregory Fegel
“In a similar way, I calculate that a reduction in the amount of CO2 by half, or a gain to twice the amount, would cause a temperature change of – 1.5 degrees C, or + 1.6 degrees C, respectively.” ― Svante Arrhenius (1906)
“…Yet, in holding scientific research and discovery in respect, as we should, we must also be alert to the equal and opposite danger that public policy could itself become the captive of a scientific technological elite.”– Dwight Eisenhower, 1961
Below are some seminal articles from 2015 up to now, largely in date order. Here is a list of some important videos about the outstanding issues - Many of them are very revealing.
Nobel laureate Ivar Giaever's speech at the Nobel Laureates' meeting 1st July 2015. Ivar points out the mistakes which Obama made in his speeches about global warming, and shares other not-well known facts about the state of the climate. Well worth a listen here! Especially the effect one match has...
At last, in January 2015 we have a simple peer-reviewed Climate Model that actually predicts what's happening and as of August 2015 it has even been shown correctly to predict conditions backwards in time too. Why do the other models show such variation and lack of correlation with reality? Maybe this is why?
Then as of February 2015 and despite today's worries about the warming effects on the climate of animal-generated methane, we have scientific proof that methane seepage from the Arctic seabed has been occurring for millions of years! In March 2015, it's clear that the temperature records on which much of current climate science has been based, have been 'adjusted'. And then, just in time to rescue the 'damsel in distress', comes this about Water Vapour. To make you laugh here is a cautionary tale. Finally the Quote of the Century. By the IPCC too. Why is it being ignored so much...? Perhaps more importantly why are some now trying to stop any research that's directed at testing the AGW theories of the IPCC? Such testing is surely the basis of the scientific method? Let us get the science right. Yet, in June 2015 we have the Royal Society of Edinburgh apparently making this very mistake.
In April 2015 an interesting investigative study concludes: "The question is why, in the teeth of the scientific and economic evidence, nearly all of the global governing class were so easily taken in or bought out or both by the strange coalescence of powerful vested interests who have, until now, profited so monstrously by the biggest fraud in history at such crippling expense in lives and treasure to the rest of us, and at such mortal threat to the integrity and trustworthiness of science itself". Is it right?
A true 'Man of Science'. Prof Bob Carter died on 19 January 2016 after a heart attack at the age of 73. Just as with fellow countrymen and subsequent Nobel Prize winners, Drs Marshall and Warren whose derided theory regarding heliocobacter-pylori was proved to be correct, Carter's Australian University vilified him for sticking to his scientific principles when all about him disagreed. He stood up for real science in the face of quite unscientific argument. Now in a really imaginative move a Turmuhrglockenspielmelodie has been composed for him by colleague Lord Monckton. Follow the link for details and the tune! Then follow this link to hear it as if played on the Ghent Cathedral Carillon! Magic.
German physicist and meteorologist Klaus-Eckart Puls Is a beacon of sanity in the matter of Climate Change. Drawing attention to the use of Argumentum ad Verecundiam he says “Ten years ago I simply parroted what the IPCC told us. One day I started checking the facts and data – first I started with a sense of doubt but then I became outraged when I discovered that much of what the IPCC and the media were telling us was sheer nonsense and was not even supported by any scientific facts and measurements. To this day I still feel shame that as a scientist I made presentations of their science without first checking it. If they checked further, they would discover that every climate forecast made by the IPCC since 1990 has been wrong". Read more of this here
The Command & Control Center of Climate Alarmism The existence of a foreign command & control centre within climate alarmism has apparently long been ignored, despite palpable evidence. The obvious deterrent to recognising it was ridicule, as the Left manage to label anybody making such claims as a believer in a “conspiracy theory.” It is time (Dec 2016) to stop listening to fools and scoundrels. Yes, climate alarmism has a single command and control center. Read more of this here
William Happer Interview - a focused civil dialogue on Global Warming
Let the cobbler stick to his last! Paul Offit is a paediatrician. Yet, in an article for one of the sillier groupthink websites, he considers himself qualified to state that the “climate denialists” President Trump and his appointees to EPA and Energy, Scott Pruitt and Rick Perry, “deny the fact that increasing levels of carbon dioxide in the environment have trapped heat, causing an increase in the Earth’s surface temperature … and consequent climate disruption” He also apparently believes the so called 'scientific consensus' . Read about this here
300 Scientists send a petition to President Trump, asking the President to withdraw the United States from the United Nations Convention on Climate Change. Read about it here and the response to MIT's complaining letter to Trump!
are twenty five interesting graphs that demonstrate the dire
state of climate modelling today - and the worrying way in which real science is
being manipulated. The Royal Society's motto is Nullius in Verba (Take
nobody's word for it) yet anyone who tries to do just that in climate science
cannot get funds, is frequently refused publication and is subject to
energy cost and reliability claims exposed and debunked The
world of government driven renewable energy promotion is built upon a foundation
characterized by two huge fundamental deceptions. "First and foremost is
the deception that man made CO2 emissions are controlling global climate. This
deception has been exposed as wrong as clearly demonstrated by flawed and failed
climate models, failed projections of coastal sea level rise acceleration,
failed projections of increased extreme weather and failed politically driven
efforts to expunge the decades long global temperature hiatus.
And you might also like to read this - 'The Myth of Renewables' by Professor A Trewavas FRS FRSE: http://thinkscotland.org/thinkbusiness/articles.html?read_full=13204&article=www.thinkscotland.org
An interesting summary of the position
at July 2017
What is wrong with current climate models? Here is a most interesting article dated September 2017 that shows just how deficient current climate models are regarding the natural and normal disposal of the earth's heat. Well worth a read. https://wattsupwiththat.com/2017/09/08/into-the-vortex/
István Markó (1956 – 2017) was a professor and researcher in organic chemistry at the Université Catholique de Louvain. Prof. Dr. Marko was an outspoken defender of the skeptical view on the issue of human-caused/anthropogenic global warming, appearing on numerous French-language media on the Internet, in public debates and diverse English-language blog postings frequently joining with Anglo-Saxon climate skeptics. Read his refreshing views here
October 2017 - Outspoken catastrophic-minded climate scientists and high-ranking officials are alleged not to have a clue about future climate and its consequences, and are inventing catastrophic predictions for their own interest. Some say Government policies should not be based on their future predictions. Read these conclusions here
November 2017 - "It is a capital mistake to theorize before one has data". There is insufficient data of any kind – temperature, land and sea ice, glaciers, sea level, extreme weather, ocean pH, et cetera – to be able to determine how today’s climate differs from the past, much less predict the future. The IPCC’s climate forecasts have no connection with the real world. Read this fascinating analysis of the outcome of the United Nations Climate Change Conference in Bonn, Germany as it ends. Read these conclusions here.
The Missing Link - between cosmic rays, clouds, and climate change on Earth Today, we have news of something that modulates cloud cover in a new paper by Henrik Svensmark in Nature Communications. Clouds are essential for the amount of Solar energy reaching the surface of Earth the implications can be significant for our understanding of why climate has varied in the past and also for a future climate changes. Read this here
Tropical cumulus and thunderstorms act together to keep tropical temperatures, and hence global temperatures, within a fairly narrow range (e.g. ± 0.3°C over the entire 20th century). Here is a real analysis of the new CERES Edition 4.0 dataset - it shows the correspondence of sea surface temperature with cloud top height at its most amazing - and nothing to do with CO2 after all. Read more here.
March 2018 - An Environmentalist’s Journey to Climate Skepticism In a 2002 paper, what is frequently referred to as “Munk’s enigma”, Scripps Institution of Oceanography’s senior researcher bemoaned the fact researchers could not fully account for the causes of sea level rise. He lamented, “the historic rise started too early, has too linear a trend, and is too large.” Read more here
For four decades since 1979, when Dr Jule Charney wrote a report for the U.S. National Research Council predicting that for every doubling of CO2 concentration there would be 1.5 to 4.5 C° global warming with a best estimate of 3 C°, the error of physics exposed by a new paper, unwittingly incorporated five generations of general-circulation computer models of the climate, had misled scientists into exaggerating all their predictions of global warming. Read more here and, confirming it, this here too.
Where, Exactly, Is The Man-made Climate Problem? Two very interesting plots of Hadcrut4 data from 1895-1943 and 1957-2005 show no statistically significant difference between the two. Read more here.
It is probable that even a 1% variation in atmospheric water vapour equals or exceeds all the effects of human sourced CO2. Read more here and the interesting articles of May 13th 2018
Do the clouds respond to changes in total forcing in such a manner as to oppose them? Well Yes they do, but you would be surprised at what happens after a volcanic eruption! Read more here (May 2018)
33 Fellows of the Royal Geological Society assert that Climate models fail to model past climates accurately and consistently overestimate future temperature trends, nor are they able to explain ten more serious questions. Read more here (June 2018)
Now the NOAA is apparently suggesting 2018's temperatures equated with those of 1934. Scientist Tony Heller gives us the truth and notes about 30 years of failure too.. Read more here. And here More about Tony Heller here too. September 2018.
Audit of Global HadCRUT4 warming data finds it riddled with errors and “freakishly improbable data” that it is effectively useless. Read this summary October 2018
right to express scepticism about climate change Contrary to
Al Gore’s assertion on October 12 2018 that only “a few outliers” in the
scientific community don’t support the UN IPCC conclusions, there are many
scientists who disagree with the UN on climate change.
Read about this here.
Is the NY Times really telling lies about Climate Figures? This link really seems to be suggesting that the NY Times is indeed deceiving its readership. Can this be true? Read about it here.
Real Victory for Science After an academic career
of more than 30 years, Peter Ridd had his employment terminated as a
professor of physics at James Cook University in Townsville,
Australia. Peter had spoken out against the accepted orthodoxy
that climate change was ‘killing’ the Great Barrier Reef. He was able
to crowd fund his chance to prosecute the University by raising $AUS
250,000 in five days! Peter writes: "My lawyers have told me that
the judge handed down his decision and we seem to have won on all
Climate Scientist Murry Salby Demolishes the Global Warming Alarm In an extraordinarily careful, precise and well reasoned paper Murry Salby carefully explains why the extent of global warming is minimal. Read it at this link here
Climate Alarmism is now really crumbling but still the myths are being perpetuated. Tony Heller tackles these and explains using press reports of the time and showing the current models are simply wrong.
Worried about Arctic Sea Ice?
Thought that today's Satellite Data can be
The quite appalling state of Climate Science today
Now even NASA is criticising NASA regarding Climate Change!!
Tony Heller shows us here in October 2019 that now there is (justifiable)
internal criticism, at last!, in NASA.
Tough Times For Arctic Alarmists - Summer 2020. Alaskan sea ice is now at record levels again despite predictions from NASA in 2007 that it would be gone by 2012, then the BBC said it would go by 2013, then Al Gore predicted 2014 and so on. Yet here we are with plenty despite an increase in atmospheric CO2. The fact (of course) is that sea ice levels are cyclical and for some odd reason Climate Scientists start their plots at a peak in order to always show a predicted decrease. That isn't science. For more See: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MMn_qNY5KZE
Here for reference are just a few of the very many schoolboy howler arguments that have been used to suggest that Climate Change is upon us and that it is a crisis. Despite the fact that records do not go far back interestingly so many can be checked by the simple process of referring to newspaper and similar reports. One of the latest classics has been the announcement by the Washington Post that the world is currently hotter than for 1000 years! Yet we have not even got to the temperatures seen in Roman times and in any case the Western hemisphere is still actually cooling from 1939. (See Ref 115 below)
Just read these links to realise that we have not got a crisis even though we are going through a small upturn in the world's cyclical climate.
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